Premier League predictions for the next seven days
PitchMaths editorial team · Updated
Twenty clubs, 38 rounds from August to May, and three relegation places at the bottom: the Premier League is the competition many readers follow first on a weekend. This page covers every EPL fixture in the next seven days with the model's numbers, then the tips that clear our thresholds and the current table.
EPL fixtures and 1X2 chances, next seven days
| Kick-off | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Tip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea – Man United | 50% | 24% | 27% | Chelsea to win | |
| Bournemouth – Leeds | 45% | 28% | 27% | Bournemouth to win | |
| Coventry City – Sunderland | 37% | 29% | 34% | Coventry City to win | |
| Hull City – Ipswich Town | 36% | 28% | 36% | Hull City to win | |
| Brentford – Nottingham Forest | 47% | 26% | 27% | Brentford to win | |
| Man City – Brighton | 55% | 23% | 22% | Man City to win | |
| Tottenham – Crystal Palace | 55% | 23% | 22% | Tottenham to win | |
| Aston Villa – Fulham | 52% | 25% | 23% | Aston Villa to win | |
| Liverpool – Arsenal | 28% | 27% | 45% | Arsenal to win | |
| Newcastle – Everton | 45% | 26% | 29% | Newcastle to win |
Premier League match result tips
No matches meet our criteria for this day yet. The list refreshes four times a day.
Premier League over/under 2.5 goals tips
| Kick-off | Match | Tip | Probability | Fair odds | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea – Man United | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 | 1.56 | Pending | |
| Man City – Brighton | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 | 1.46 | Pending |
Odds: Megapari, as of 28 October 2026, 12:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Premier League both teams to score tips
| Kick-off | Match | Tip | Probability | Fair odds | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea – Man United | Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.64 | 1.50 | Pending | |
| Man City – Brighton | Both teams to score: Yes | 60% | 1.68 | 1.48 | Pending |
Odds: Megapari, as of 28 October 2026, 12:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Likeliest EPL scores this week
| Kick-off | Match | Correct score | Expected goals | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea – Man UnitedPremier League | 1-1 (9.8%)2-1 9.0% · 1-2 7.0% | 1.9 – 1.5 | – | |
| Bournemouth – LeedsPremier League | 1-1 (13.0%)1-0 11.0% · 2-1 9.0% | 1.4 – 1.1 | – | |
| Coventry City – SunderlandPremier League | 1-1 (13.6%)1-0 12.5% · 0-0 10.8% | 1.3 – 1.0 | – | |
| Hull City – Ipswich TownPremier League | 1-1 (13.1%)1-0 9.4% · 0-1 9.2% | 1.3 – 1.3 | – | |
| Brentford – Nottingham ForestPremier League | 1-1 (12.8%)1-0 10.8% · 2-1 9.2% | 1.5 – 1.1 | – | |
| Man City – BrightonPremier League | 1-1 (11.1%)2-1 9.7% · 1-0 8.4% | 1.8 – 1.2 | – | |
| Tottenham – Crystal PalacePremier League | 1-1 (12.0%)2-1 9.4% · 1-0 9.2% | 1.6 – 1.2 | – | |
| Aston Villa – FulhamPremier League | 1-0 (11.9%)1-1 11.8% · 2-0 10.5% | 1.7 – 0.9 | – | |
| Liverpool – ArsenalPremier League | 1-1 (13.0%)0-1 12.2% · 0-0 9.3% | 1.0 – 1.4 | – | |
| Newcastle – EvertonPremier League | 1-1 (12.4%)1-0 10.4% · 2-1 9.4% | 1.6 – 1.1 | – |
Why tips are scarce in this league
Few leagues are priced as closely as this one. Bookmakers take a great deal of money on every match and correct their odds quickly, and where those odds are in our data the model's numbers are blended half and half with them. Many matches between mid-table clubs end up with no outcome above 55%, and goals markets often sit in the 50s. A thin list of tips here is normal, not a fault.
Reading the tables
The fixtures table shows the home, draw and away chance for every match in the next week. The tips tables show only matches that clear a threshold, with fair odds (1 ÷ probability) and the bookmaker's price where we have it. Kick-off times are in East Africa Time and convert to your own clock; Nigeria is two hours behind EAT and Ghana three. Most weekend kick-offs land in the afternoon or evening in East Africa.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 | LWDWW |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | DWDLL |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 | DLDWW |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 | DDLWW |
| 16 | Man United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 19 | Coventry City | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 | LLLLD |
Premier League season projection
| # | Team | Pts | Projected pts | Title | Top 4 | Relegated | Likely finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 21 | 84 | 66% | 99% | – | 1–2 |
| 2 | Man City | 21 | 78 | 28% | 94% | – | 1–4 |
| 3 | Brighton | 16 | 66 | 3% | 60% | <1% | 2–8 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 15 | 66 | 2% | 56% | <1% | 2–8 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 11 | 61 | 1% | 29% | <1% | 3–11 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 13 | 58 | <1% | 19% | 1% | 4–12 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 55 | <1% | 11% | 2% | 4–14 |
| 8 | Brentford | 11 | 54 | <1% | 9% | 2% | 5–14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 11 | 53 | <1% | 8% | 2% | 5–14 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 11 | 53 | <1% | 7% | 3% | 5–15 |
| 11 | Man United | 7 | 48 | <1% | 3% | 8% | 7–17 |
| 12 | Everton | 10 | 46 | – | 1% | 10% | 7–18 |
| 13 | Tottenham | 9 | 46 | – | 1% | 11% | 7–18 |
| 14 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 45 | – | 1% | 13% | 8–18 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 43 | – | <1% | 21% | 9–19 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 41 | – | <1% | 29% | 10–19 |
| 17 | Ipswich Town | 10 | 39 | – | <1% | 41% | 12–20 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 6 | 38 | – | <1% | 47% | 12–20 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 5 | 36 | – | <1% | 54% | 13–20 |
| 20 | Hull City | 10 | 36 | – | <1% | 57% | 13–20 |
We play the rest of the season 10,000 times with the model's ratings, starting from the current table (80 of 380 matches played). Each simulated season also varies every club's strength a little, because ratings are never exact. Relegated means finishing in the bottom 3. Ties are split by goal difference and then goals scored; head-to-head rules are not modelled. Likely finish is the range of places a club ends up in 80% of the simulations.
What the numbers leave out
The model reads scores only. It does not see a striker's injury, a manager resting players before a Champions League night, or a new coach's first match. Check the team news from the pre-match press conferences before you bet, above all on short prices.
How we pick
Each club's attack and defence are rated from roughly three seasons of results, with recent matches weighted more, and the Premier League has its own scoring level and home advantage. The method is on how our predictions are made. Clubs in European competition also appear on Champions League predictions. For all leagues together, see weekend predictions, 1X2 tips, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Our tips across all leagues, last 30 days
Every tip is logged before kick-off and settled automatically from the final score. Nothing is edited after the match.
You must be 18+ to bet. Even the strongest EPL favourite drops points; any bet can lose.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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Frequently asked questions
When are the EPL predictions for this weekend ready?
As soon as the fixtures are in our data, usually a week ahead. The numbers are recalculated at every refresh, four times a day, so they take in midweek results and bookmaker prices right up to kick-off.
Do you have Premier League predictions for today?
When there are Premier League matches today, they are at the top of the fixtures table and any tips appear in the tables below it. On days without EPL football, the page shows the next seven days ahead.
Why is there no tip on a big Premier League match?
Because no outcome reached our bar: 55% for a win, 60% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score. Top-six clashes are often too even for that, and we would rather print the probabilities than force a pick.
Do the English Premier League predictions use bookmaker odds?
Yes, where the odds are in our data, which for the Premier League is usually the case because its markets open early. The model's result, over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score numbers are blended half and half with the bookmaker's price after the margin is removed.
What does the season projection show?
The rest of the season played out 10,000 times from the current table using the model's match probabilities. It gives each club's projected points and its chance of the title, a top-four finish and relegation. It changes after every round.